If the last weekend in European policy is an indication of anything, then this is that the “Trump’s influence” is real, and its frequencies cannot be predicted.
Three countries in the European Union conducted elections on Sunday – Romania, Poland and Portugal – as the results failed to show any clear trend for the future of European policy. However, the elections indicate the increasing effect of the American president on the continent.
Voted voters in all three countries – and the absence of a decisive victory for any party or candidate in Portugal or Poland – suggests that the political polarization that has led to the United States during the past decade is a global trend, not just an American.
Regarding whether President Donald Trump and the movement “made America great again” revolve around it, the European gods can create, the question is still open.
“I don’t know if I have a strong answer,” Celia Bilin, the first political policy colleague at the European Council for Foreign Relations and the head of her office in Paris, told ABC News. “At the present time, we all watch what happens and how this effect can prove itself.”
“It is very early,” Bilin added. “This is an ongoing phenomenon.”
Although it is unclear how it is Tram’s influence on European policy in the end, Pelin said the influence was “stronger” than it was two years ago.
It has given Trump’s direct and direct influence-populist movements such as Germany’s alternative to the Germany Party, the National Party and Justice in Poland (PIS) and the extremist Chiga Party in Portugal, a clear, clear batch in the last elections in each country.
Topchot – US President Donald Trump will leave after a meeting with European Union officials at the headquarters of the European Union, on the sidelines of the NATO summit (northern Atlantic), in Brussels, on May 25, 2017.
Thierry Charlier/AFP via Getty Images
“If I would compare two years ago, for example, it is stronger, it is more challenging, it gives an inspiration to a large number of popular national leaders in Europe,” Pelin said. “It is getting stronger. This is the direction in which it is going now.”
GroundsWell is one of the grievances that carried Trump to the Oval Office twice, not just an American phenomenon and is manifested differently in individual countries. Fears of globalization, immigration, inequality, cost of living, low economic and progressive growth rates and national identity are almost uncompromising in the Western democratic world.
Trump seized these conditions in the United States and right -wing leaders in Europe seeking to do the same.
Election Week in Europe
This week’s elections indicate Romania, Poland and Portugal, however, indicate that the translation of tramp into European political languages is still incomplete.
In Romania, the voters chose the mayor of Bucharest Nicosur Dan, supporter of the Laaroub, supporter of NATO, supporter of Ukraine. Dan won about 54 % of the sounds.
Dan’s opponent – Trump’s supporter George Simon, who broke the Maga movement and even visited the United States during his campaign – though he pledged to continue “our battle for freedom and our great values alongside other patriots, sovereignty and conservatives all over the world.”
In Poland, the presidential elections witnessed the Mayor of Liberal Warsaw Rafale Tzzowsovsky, an unexpectedly narrow victory in the first round of voting with about 31 % of the votes, defeating his right rival Carol Noruki-who was personally approved by Trump-who received 29.5 % of the vote.
The two men will go to the second round of voting on the first of June, hoping to attract voters from other minor candidates, including an important bloc that voted in favor of Firebrand Slawomir Mentzen, who ranked third by 14.8 %.
Pioter Bouras, a senior fellow in ECFR at the head of the Warsaw office, told ABC News that Trump was looming on the horizon during the elections.
Noruki frame himself as a friend of Trump, along with his supporters in the Law and Justice Party, and criticized the civilian Party of Trzaskowski and Prime Minister Donald Tusk for allegedly undermining the Polish -American relations.
“We are used to having a consensus in the country on America,” Bouras said, as voters generally warmly the idea of close relations with Washington, DC, “now, because of this ideological gap in Poland, because of the United States and because of Trump’s approach in Europe, Poland suddenly divided on how to go to America.”
In Portugal, at the same time, the extremist Chiga party gained a standard stake of 22.6 % of the vote, and opened the long hegemony of the two parties to the country’s political scene, although it was unable to reform the ruling Democratic Alliance.
“I will not stop until he became the Prime Minister of Portugal,” said Chiega Ventura leader – who was among the foreign politicians inviting to the opening of Trump II.
Make Europe great again?
This confidence in defeat may be raised by the strong foundations that popular parties and candidates in Europe lays. Throughout the continent, right -wing extremist groups win large parts of voters and dominant political discussions, even without securing the reins of power.
In the United Kingdom, the right-wing Reform Party recorded an amazing performance in the local elections in May, won hundreds of council seats and left leader Nigel Faraj-known for his comfortable relationship with Trump and the Maga-to announce the end of the traditional hegemony over the British parties.
In the German parliamentary elections in February, the AFD party (AFD) was raised years of increasing popularity to win about 21 % of the votes and become the second largest party in Bundestag.
US Vice President JD Vance held his first foreign trip in his new position to Germany in February, shortly before the elections, speaking at the Munich Security Conference on February 14.
In his speech, which deals with the annual security conference, Vans criticized Europe because of the disability of freedom of expression, indicating that the conference’s decision to ban AFD members of the attendees was a form of censorship.
Vice President JD Vance speaks during a discussion at the Munich leaders meeting hosted by the Munich Security Conference in Washington, May 7, 2025.
Mandel and/AFP
“In Britain and through Europe, freedom of expression, I am afraid,” Vans said. “I think people’s refusal, their fears, or the worst of that are the closure of the media, the closure of elections, or the closure of people from the political process, does not protect anything. In fact, it is the most confirmary way to destroy democracy.” Many political analysts considered that Vans’s statements as an implicit support for AFD from the Trump administration.
In France, President Emmanuel Macron has so far created the continuous challenge of the presidency of the right -wing extremist leader Marine Lab and the National Rally, but he was unable to prevent the party from becoming the largest in the National Assembly in 2024. The government of a fragile minority has shown only the party from the Prime Minister’s office.
Return coordination. The leaders were increasingly attracted to the American conservative events, such as the Conservative Political Labor Conference-the first European batch ever held in Budapest, Hungary, in 2022.
This year, the right -wing meeting at the Make Europe conference met again in Madrid in February, which was organized by the Fox party in the extremist Spain.
Bouras indicated rumors that Vice Vice President JD Vance may come until the planned CPAC event in Poland in late May, while it can only be explained as an offer to support Nawrocki. Bouras said the event raises the possibility of “approximately American intervention or at least an effect on the United States.”
You are blue
Trump is his division outside as it is at home. In fact, opinion polls constantly indicate that many European voters are skeptical, unstable or unstable.
So, there is no guarantee that the Maga Association will put foreign populism in power. For example, the recent elections in Canada and Australia have witnessed the legs construction parties in the center, securing victory against conservative opponents who sought to distort Trump.
Beilin said that Trump’s return to the White House “woke up to the anti -popular or anti -nationalist movements.” “It gives them frustration … … you want to mobilize voters and use the United States from Donald Trump as a kind of scarecrow – the impact of packing in two directions.”
“He nourishes the extremist base, so it raises many people, but it also nourishes the other side and also frightens the middle,” Bilin said.
